Hi Everyone,
Change in our bankroll management strategy going forward. From now on, I recommend .5% of bankroll as your betting unit.
This means for each pick you should place one-half of one-percent of your bankroll on the outcome.
Previously, it has been one percent so this is a fifty percent reduction.
Why the change? The first rule of making money: Don’t lose money. This change protects our downside.
Also, with the proliferation of sports betting apps in the U.S. I am now using Vegas Insider to track the best odds.
Six plays today.
Cheers,
Ben
Picks
NBA
MIA at BKN
MIA +2
MIA ML +2.05
Interesting matchup. MIA is on the second night of a back-to-back, having lost to MIL by one point last night. Butler and his backup Strus may not play tonight. And Durant is back for BKN. So who know what to make of these odds. Hold this pick until we know if Butler is playing for MIA. If Butler is playing make the wager above. If Butler is out and Strus is playing make any Spread and ML wagers at MIA +5 or higher. If Butler is out AND Strus is out AND Martin is starting make any play MIA +4 or above (Martin is more productive than Strus). If Butler and Martin are both out, this is a no-bet. If we’re lucky, Butler and Strus will both be out, Martin will start, and the odds will be something like MIA +7/ML +3.0. The sheet will reflect the updated odds. I’ll try to tweet out the final play shortly before tip.