Picks for March 25, 2025

Starting Bankroll (3/5/25): $10,000
Yesterday’s Bankroll: $10,270
Today’s Bankroll: $10,050
ROI: 0.5%

All results here.

Another day of losses. That’s part of the deal, managing downturns. I still don’t know how to accurately account for teams incentivized to tank, ala PHI. Perhaps best just to avoid.

That being said, there is a potentially interesting play with CHA today.

As always, this is just a follow-along. Please don’t make bets on these picks.

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GAMES

ORL at CHA
2u on CHA +190

You just said, stay away from tanking teams. True. But, CHA is pretty much locked in at the 3rd position in lottery odds and, at 4 - 6 in their last 10, don’t seem to be doing the same kind of tanking as other teams. They have two exceptionally productive players in William and Diabate and I think even tanking teams play well at home. That being said, you may want to wait until the lineups are set. If Williams is out this becomes a .5u play.

SAS at DET
.5u on SAS +400

Great odds for a Chris Paul-quarterbacked team.

DAL at NYK
.2u on DAL +370

In my database DAL wins about 32% of the time. Implied odds of +370 are 21%.

PARLAYS

.4u on CHA/SAS +1296

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FULL NBA SLATE

2u on CHA +190

.5u on SAS +400

.2u on DAL +370

.4u on CHA/SAS +1311