Picks for April 15, 2025

Starting Bankroll (3/5/25): $10,000
Yesterday’s Bankroll: $9,260
Today’s Bankroll: $9,450
ROI: -5.5%

All results here.

Shame to end the regular season with a negative ROI. For the past week I’ve only been posting picks on X. Short a historic collapse by CLE against IND on Sunday, we would have been up around +10% ROI but thems the breaks.

Will offer plays for today’s and tomorrow’s games and then series’ picks for the playoffs.

As always, this is just a follow-along. Please don’t make these bets.

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GAMES

ATL at ORL
2u on ATL +175

ORL playing Jonathan Issac and Goga Bitaditze limited minutes is not helping their chances. And Banchero is an empty-calorie All-Star, shooting 45% as a Power Forward (along with 3 Turnovers a game).Trae and them will likely get the benefit of the calls, even on the road.

MEM at GSW
.5u on MEM +260

GSW should win. The model has them winning. But, as usual, the predicted productivity is close enough, and the odds high enough, that this is a worthwhile play. Also, Butler and Curry are a little banged up, which doesn't seem priced into the odds. And, if JJJ gets into foul trouble (which seems likely, especially going up against Draymond), Aldama is a more-than-capable backup.

FULL NBA SLATE

2u on ATL +175
.5u on MEM +260